veyepar: Forecasting Australia's 2019 Election with PyMC3

Author(s):	Martin Burgess
Location	Cockle Bay
Date	aug Fri 02	Days Raw Files
Start	13:30	First Raw Start	13:03
Duration	0:30:0	Offset	0:26:41
End	14:00	Last Raw End	14:03
Chapters	00:00 0:01:33 0:26:32 0:29:13
Total cuts_time	29 min.

https://2019.pycon-au.org/talks/forecasting-australias-2019-election-with-pymc3
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assets release.pdf Forecasting_Australias_2019_Election_with_PyMC3.json
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Description:	Can we predict the result of an Australian election before it occurs? How certain of the outcome can we be? My talk will use the 2019 Australian federal election as a case study to provide an entry-level introduction to the benefits of probabilistic forecasting and PyMC3. markdown
Comment:	production notes

2019-08-02/13_03_19.ts Apply: 13:03:19 - 13:30:54 ( 00:27:35 ) S: 13:03:19 - E: 13:33:18 D: 00:29:59 (End: 1655.0) show more...

vlc ~/Videos/veyepar/pyconau/pyconau2019/dv/cockle_bay/2019-08-02/13_03_19.ts :start-time=00.0 --audio-desync=0

	Raw File	Cut List
	13:03:19		seconds: 0.0 Wall: 13:03:19
Duration	00:29:59
	13:33:18		seconds: 1655.0 Wall: 13:30:54
Comments:
mp4 mp4.m3u	dv.m3u	Split: Sequence:: delete

2019-08-02/13_03_19.ts Apply: 13:30:54 - 13:31:45 ( 00:00:51 ) S: 13:03:19 - E: 13:33:18 D: 00:29:59 (Start: 1655.0) (End: 1706.0) show more...

vlc ~/Videos/veyepar/pyconau/pyconau2019/dv/cockle_bay/2019-08-02/13_03_19.ts :start-time=01655.0 --audio-desync=0

	Raw File	Cut List
	13:03:19		seconds: 1655.0 Wall: 13:30:54
Duration	00:29:59
	13:33:18		seconds: 1706.0 Wall: 13:31:45
Comments:
mp4 mp4.m3u	dv.m3u	Split: Sequence:: delete

2019-08-02/13_03_19.ts Apply: 13:31:45 - 13:33:18 ( 00:01:33 ) S: 13:03:19 - E: 13:33:18 D: 00:29:59 (Start: 1706.0) show more...

vlc ~/Videos/veyepar/pyconau/pyconau2019/dv/cockle_bay/2019-08-02/13_03_19.ts :start-time=01706.0 --audio-desync=0

	Raw File	Cut List
	13:03:19		seconds: 1706.0 Wall: 13:31:45
Duration	00:29:59
	13:33:18		seconds: 0.0 Wall: 13:03:19
Comments:
mp4 mp4.m3u	dv.m3u	Split: Sequence:: delete

2019-08-02/13_33_19.ts Apply: 13:33:19 - 13:58:18 ( 00:24:59 ) S: 13:33:19 - E: 14:03:18 D: 00:29:59 (End: 1499.0) show more...

vlc ~/Videos/veyepar/pyconau/pyconau2019/dv/cockle_bay/2019-08-02/13_33_19.ts :start-time=00.0 --audio-desync=0

	Raw File	Cut List
	13:33:19		seconds: 0.0 Wall: 13:33:19
Duration	00:29:59
	14:03:18		seconds: 1499.0 Wall: 13:58:18
Comments:
mp4 mp4.m3u	dv.m3u	Split: Sequence:: delete

2019-08-02/13_33_19.ts Apply: 13:58:18 - 14:00:59 ( 00:02:41 ) S: 13:33:19 - E: 14:03:18 D: 00:29:59 (Start: 1499.0) (End: 1660.0) show more...

vlc ~/Videos/veyepar/pyconau/pyconau2019/dv/cockle_bay/2019-08-02/13_33_19.ts :start-time=01499.0 --audio-desync=0

	Raw File	Cut List
	13:33:19		seconds: 1499.0 Wall: 13:58:18
Duration	00:29:59
	14:03:18		seconds: 1660.0 Wall: 14:00:59
Comments:
mp4 mp4.m3u	dv.m3u	Split: Sequence:: delete

2019-08-02/13_33_19.ts Apply: 14:00:59 - 14:01:03 ( 00:00:04 ) S: 13:33:19 - E: 14:03:18 D: 00:29:59 (Start: 1660.0) (End: 1664.0) show more...

vlc ~/Videos/veyepar/pyconau/pyconau2019/dv/cockle_bay/2019-08-02/13_33_19.ts :start-time=01660.0 --audio-desync=0

	Raw File	Cut List
	13:33:19		seconds: 1660.0 Wall: 14:00:59
Duration	00:29:59
	14:03:18		seconds: 1664.0 Wall: 14:01:03
Comments:
mp4 mp4.m3u	dv.m3u	Split: Sequence:: delete

2019-08-02/13_33_19.ts Apply: 14:01:03 - 14:03:18 ( 00:02:15 ) S: 13:33:19 - E: 14:03:18 D: 00:29:59 (Start: 1664.0) show more...

vlc ~/Videos/veyepar/pyconau/pyconau2019/dv/cockle_bay/2019-08-02/13_33_19.ts :start-time=01664.0 --audio-desync=0

	Raw File	Cut List
	13:33:19		seconds: 1664.0 Wall: 14:01:03
Duration	00:29:59
	14:03:18		seconds: 0.0 Wall: 13:33:19
Comments:
mp4 mp4.m3u	dv.m3u	Split: Sequence:: delete

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